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Project Information

MUSICALS II – Multiscale Snow/Icemelt Discharge Simulations into Alpine Reservoirs

Climate change initially increases glacier melt, but as glaciers adjust their size, melt decreases again. Besides altering ice melt contributions to total runoff, climate change will affect the contribution of snowmelt and rainfall in quantity and seasonal characteristics. The resulting changes in water availability will conflict with water demands of different user communities, and these conflicts may be amplified when water demands increase. Beside the mid- to long-range changes of Alpine water cycles and the resulting consequences for hydropower production, seasonal forecasts are of high relevance for hydropower companies.

MUSICALS II seeks to identify and quantify water availability and runoff in Tyrol and their possible future changes. An existing modelling framework will be extended by improving the preprocessing of meteorological input data, coupling the model chain with a dynamical glacier model, and integrating seasonal predictions of meteorological input data. The model setup will be validated under historical conditions and applied for seasonal runoff forecasts (10 to approx. 100 days) and climate scenarios (until 2050).

Project Team

Project Team MUSICALS II

Dr.-Ing. Kristian Förster (Hydrology, Water Resources Management)

Florian Hanzer (Hydrological Modeling)

Dr. Matthias Huttenlau (Area Leader LAND, Area Leader WATER – Maternity Leave Replacement, Project Management)

Mag. Johanna Nemec (Meteorology, Climatology)   

Mag. Felix Österle

Elena Stoll, M.Sc. (Meteorology, Climatology, Glaciology)    



Scientific Partners

University of Innsbruck
Institute of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences
Contact: Univ.-Prof. Dr. Georg Kaser

University of Innsbruck
Institute of Geography
Contact: Univ.-Prof. Dr. Ulrich Strasser

University of Innsbruck
Institute of Infrastructure, Unit of Hydraulic Engineering
Contact: Ass.-Prof. DI Dr. Stefan Achleitner

Vienna University of Technology
Institute for Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management
Contact: Ass.-Prof. DI Dr. Robert Kirnbauer


Company Partners

TIWAG - Tiroler Wasserkraft AG
Contact: Dr. Johannes Schöber